???????? ??????? ????? ?????? ????????? ???? ?? ??? ?? ???????????? (??? ??????? ??????) ??? ???? ??????? ????? ?????. ?????? ??????? ??? ???????? ????? ??????? ??????? ??????? ??????? ?? ??????? ????????? ???????? ?????? ???????? ??????? ????? ???? ??? ??????? ?? ?????? ?????? ???????? ??????????? – ?? ????????? ??????? ??????? ??? ???? ?????? ??????? ????? ????????? ??????. ??? ???? ??????? ???????? ???????? ????? ?? ??????? ????? ???? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ??????????? ???????? ??? ??? ??????? ???? ???? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ???????. ????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ????? ??????? ???? ???? ?????? ??? 9 ?????? ???? ?? ??? 2050. ?????? ?????? ?? ?????? ???????? ????? ?????? ????? ?????? ??? ?? ??? ???????? ???????? ?????? ??????????? ?????. ????? ????? ?????????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ??? ???? ?????? ??? ?????? ???????? ????? ???? ??????? ????? ????? ??????? ????.() ??? ???? ?? ????? ?????? ?? ?????? ?? ????? ???? ???? ???? ????? ?? ????? ??????? ??????? ????????? ??????? ??? ?? ??? ????? ?????? ?????????? ????????. ???? ??????? ???? ???? ???? ?????? ???????? ?????? ??????? ????????? ???????. ?? ???? ??? ?????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ??? 1.5 ????? ???? ?? ??????? ?????? ??????? ????? ?????? ??????? ????? ??????? ???? ???????.
??????? ??? ?? ??? ??????? ??? ????? ????? ????? ????? ?????? ?? ????? ??????? ???? ???? ???? ????? ??????? ????? ?????? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?????????. ???? ???????? ?? ???? ???? ????? ???????? ????????? ?? ???? ?????? ???? ?????.() ??? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ?? ?????? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ?? ???????? ????????? ?????? ???????? ????? ?????????? ?? ??????? ???????? ??? ??? ?? ???? ???? ?????? ????? ?? ????? ???? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?? ??? ????? ????? ??????. ????? ?? ???? ???? ????? ?????? ??? ???? ??????? ?? ??????? ??? ????????? ?????? ????? ??????? ??? ??????? ???????? ???? ?? ???? ???? ?????.()
???????? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ??????? ?????? ???????? (????????)? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ?????? ????? ?????? ???? ??????? ?????? ???? ?????? ?? ???? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????? ?? ??????? ??????? ?????? ????? ???????? ???????? ????????? ??? ????? ???????. ??? ???? ???????? ??????????? ?????? ?? ?????? ???? ????? ?????? ???????????? ??? ?????? ??? ???? ??? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ????? ???????? ?????? ????? ??????? ??????? ????????. ????? ???????? ??????????? ?????? ????? ??? ????? ???????? ??????? ???? ????? ???????? ??????? ????? ????? ????????? ??????? ???????? ????? ?????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ???????????? ????? ?????? ?????? ????? ??? ??????. ????? ???????? ?????? ??? ??? ???? ?? ??????? ?????? ??? ????????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ????????? ??? ?????? ????????? ??????? ?? ??????? ???????? ??? ???? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?? ???? ?????? ??????? ??.
??????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???? ???? ???? ??? ?????? ????? ???? ????? ????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ???????. ????? ???????? ??????????? ?????? ???? ???? ????? ?? 18 ????? ?? ??????? ??? ????? ???????? ????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ?????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???????? ???????? ?????????? ????????? ?????? ?? ?????? ??????? ?29 ????? ?????? ??? ??? ??????? ????? ????????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ??? ????????. ?????? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ????????? ?? ????? ??????? ???? ?????? ??????? ??????? ???????? (???????? ??????????? ??????- ??????? ???????? 2014- 2021) ???????? ”??? ??????: ?????????? ???????? ??????? ?????????? ?????????“? ??? ?????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?????????. ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ??????? 2013? ???? ?????? ??????? ???? ?????? ?? ??????? ?????????. ???? ???? ?????? ?????? ?? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ?? ??????? ?????? ??? ????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ?? ???? ??????.
????????? ????????
??????? ????? ???? ??????? ??????? ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ???? ???? ?? ???? ???? ?????? ?????????? ???? ?????? ????? ?? ??? ?????? ???????. ?????? ???? ??? ????? ???? ???? ?? ????? ?????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ???? ???? ??? ?????? ??? ??? ?????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ??? ??????? ??? ???????() ????? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????? ??? 2007? ?????? ?? ???? ??? ????? ?????? ?? ????? ??????? ??????? ?????? ???? ????? ?????. ????? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ??? ??????? ???????? ???? ???? ????? ???? ?????? ??? ?????? ??????. ????? ?????? ??????? ???? ??? ??? ????? ??? 2020 ?? ????? ??? ?????? ??? 75 ? 250 ????? ??? ?? ??????? ?????? ???? ?????? ????? ????? ??????. ???? ?? ????? ??? ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ?????? ???? ??? ???? ??? ????? ????? ??? ????? ????? ??????. ????? ??? ????? ????? ????? ????? ?????? ?? ???? ?? ??? ??????? ?? ???? ?? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ???? ?????? ??????? ??????. ?????? ??? 2020? ????? ???? ???? ?????? ?? ????????? ??????? ?? ??????? ??????? ????? ??????? ?????? ?? ????? ??????. ?????? ??????? ?? ????? ???? ?????? ??? ???? ????? ???? ???? ?????? ????? ????. ?????? ????????? ?? ??? ????? ????? ????? ?????? ???? ???? ????? ?? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ?? 50 ???? ?? ??? ?? ???? ????? ??? ??????. ?????? ????????? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ?? ?????? ??????? ??????? ?? ??? ????? ?????? ?? ??????? ?????? ????? ????? ?????? ?? ?????? ????????? ??? 7 ? 77 ????? ???. ????? ?? ???? ?? ?????? ??? ?? ???? ???? ?????? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??????? ??????? ????????? ?????? ???? ?? ?????? ????????? ??????? ?? ????? ??????? ??????.()
????????? ??????????? ??????: ??? ????
??????? ?? ?? ??? ???????? ???? ???????? ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ??? ????? ????? ?????? ???? ?????? ??? ????????? ????? ?????? ?? ??? ?????? ??? ????? ??? ?? ???? ??? ????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ???????????. ?????? ?? ?????? ?????? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ???? ?? ???? ???? ??? ???? ??? ???? ??????? ?? ???? ????? ???????? ?????????? ??? ???? ??? ??? ????? ??????? ????????? ??????? ????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ??????????. ???? ?? ???? ??????? ????????? ?? ?????? ?? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?? ??????? ??? ????????? ????????? ???????? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ?????? ????? ???????? ??? ?????? ?? ????? ????? ?? ????? ???? ???. ???? ???? ??????? ???????? ???? ???? ??? ??????? ???????? ????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?????? ???? ????? ??? ??? ??????? ??????? ??? ??????. ??? ??? ??????? ??????? ?????? ????????? ??? ?? ??? ???? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ?? ????? ???????? ??? ???? ???? ???? ??????? ??? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ?? ????? ????? ????? ?????? ???????? ??????. ???? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????? ?? ??????? ??? ????? ??????????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ???????.
??????? ??? ??????? ??????? ???????? ????? ?? ???? ??? ???? ?????? ?????? 30 ?? ??????? ?? ???? ???? ?????? ??????? ?? ??????? ???????. ????? ???? ?? 60 ?? ?????? ?? ????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?? ?????? ??? ???? 2008 ? 2100 ?? ??????? ???? ??????? ??????? ???? ???? 32 ?? ?????? ????? ???? ???? ???? 30 ?? ??????. ?????? ?? ???? ????? ????????? ??? ??? ???? ?????? ?? ??? 2100. ?????? ??? ??????? ????? ???? ???? ???????? ?????? ????? ??????? ?????? ??? ???? ??????? ????? ?????????? – ?????????? ????? ?????? ???? ??????????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ?? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ?????? ?????? ???????????.() ????? ?? ???? ???? 276 ?? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ????? ?????? – 23 ?? ?????? ?? ??????? ?22 ?? ?????? ?? ???? ?25 ?? ?????? ?? ?????? ?17 ?? ?????? ?? ?????? ???????? ?13 ?? ?????? ?? ?????? ????????. ??????? ???? 148 ???? ??? ???? ????? ??? ??? ????? ???? ??? ?????.
??????? ???? ????? ?? ?? ??? ???????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ??????? ?? ??? ?????? ????????. ??? ?? ?? ??????? ?????? ?????? ???? ???? ??? ???? ??????? ???????? ??? ?????? ?????? ?????????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ????? ??????? ????????? ??? ????????? ????????? ??????? ?? ???????. ??????? ??? ????? ???????? ?????? ????? ???? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ?????? ???????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?? ??? ????? ????? ??????. ??? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ??????? ??????????? ??? ????? ??? ??? ????? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ????? ???? ?? ????? ?? ???? ?????? ???? ??????.
?????? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ??????
??????? ?? ????? ?????/?????? 2010? ????? ??????? ?????? ????? ??????? ??? 2013 ????? ????? ??????? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ??????. ????? ???? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? 2013? ???? ?????? ?? ?? 22 ????/????? ??? ????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ??? ???????? ??? ???? ????? ???? ??? ??? ????? ??????? ??????? ??????. ??? ??? ????? ???? ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ??? ???? ????? ??????? ???? ???? ??????? ???????? ???? ????? ?????? ??? ?????? ????? ???????? ?????? ???????? ??? ???? ????? ???????? ?? ????? ????? ?? ?? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ?????? ??????? ??????? ???? ???????? ?? ?????? ????? ??????? ??????. ??? 11 ????/?????? 2013? ???? ??? ???? ??????? ??? ?? ???????? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ??????. ?????? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ??????? ?? ???? ??????? ???? ??? ??????? ?????? ??????? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ????? ??????? ??????? ??? ??? ????? ???????? ??? ?????? ??? ??????. ?????? ???? ??? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?????? ????? ?????? ??????? ???? ?? ??????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ??????? ??????. ??? ??? ??????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ?????? ??? ???? ????????? ?? ????? ??????? ?????????.
?
??? ([1]) ?????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???????? (2013)? Water Futures and Solutions: World Water Scenarios? ???? ??? ?????? ? 4 ????/?????? 2013.
?? ([2]) Gupta, A. (2001), Challenges and Opportunities for Water Resources Management in Southeast Asia, Hydrological Sciences Journal 46(6).
?? ([3]) Varady, Robert G., Katherinee Meehan, John Rodda, Matthew Iles-Shih, and Emily McGovern (2008), Strengthening Global Water Initiatives to Sustain World Water Governance.
?? ([4]) ??????? ??????? ?????? ?????? 2012? ????? ??????? ????? ???????.
?? ([5]) ?????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ?????? (2007)? ???? ?????? 2007? ?????? ??????? ??????? ??????: ????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ?????? ????? ?????? ???????? ??? ?????? ??????.
?? ([6]) ??????? ??????? ???????? ??????????? ??????? 2014-2021 (2012)? ????? ??????: ?????????? ???????? ??????? ?????????? ?????????. ???? ???? ?????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???????? ???????? ?????????? ????????.
?
